123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960616263646566676869707172737475767778798081828384858687888990919293949596979899100101102103104105106107108109110111112113114115116117118119120121122123124125126127128129130131132133134135136137138139140141142143144145146147148149150151152153154155156157158159160161162163164165166167168169170171172173174175176177178179180181182183184185186187188189190191192193194195196197198199200201202203204205206207208209210211212213214215216217218219220221222223224225226227228229230231232233234235236237238239240241242243244245246247248249250251252253254255256257258259260261262263264265266267268269270271272273274275276277278279280281282283284285286287288289290291292293294295296297298299300301302303304305306307308309310311312313314315316317318319320321322323324325326327328329330331332333334335336337338339340341342343344345346347348349350351352353354355356357358359360361362363364365366367368369370371372373374375376377378379380381382383384385386387388389390391392393394395396397398399400401402403404405406407408409410411412413414415416417418419420421422423424425426427428429430431432433434435436437438439440441442443444445446447448449450451452453454455456457458459460461462463464465466467468469470471472473474475476477478479480481482483484485486487488489490491492493494495496497498499500501502503504505506507508509510511512513514515516517518519520521522523524525526527 |
- // boost\math\distributions\poisson.hpp
- // Copyright John Maddock 2006.
- // Copyright Paul A. Bristow 2007.
- // Use, modification and distribution are subject to the
- // Boost Software License, Version 1.0.
- // (See accompanying file LICENSE_1_0.txt
- // or copy at http://www.boost.org/LICENSE_1_0.txt)
- // Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution.
- // It expresses the probability of a number (k) of
- // events, occurrences, failures or arrivals occurring in a fixed time,
- // assuming these events occur with a known average or mean rate (lambda)
- // and are independent of the time since the last event.
- // The distribution was discovered by Simeon-Denis Poisson (1781-1840).
- // Parameter lambda is the mean number of events in the given time interval.
- // The random variate k is the number of events, occurrences or arrivals.
- // k argument may be integral, signed, or unsigned, or floating point.
- // If necessary, it has already been promoted from an integral type.
- // Note that the Poisson distribution
- // (like others including the binomial, negative binomial & Bernoulli)
- // is strictly defined as a discrete function:
- // only integral values of k are envisaged.
- // However because the method of calculation uses a continuous gamma function,
- // it is convenient to treat it as if a continuous function,
- // and permit non-integral values of k.
- // To enforce the strict mathematical model, users should use floor or ceil functions
- // on k outside this function to ensure that k is integral.
- // See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution
- // http://documents.wolfram.com/v5/Add-onsLinks/StandardPackages/Statistics/DiscreteDistributions.html
- #ifndef BOOST_MATH_SPECIAL_POISSON_HPP
- #define BOOST_MATH_SPECIAL_POISSON_HPP
- #include <boost/math/distributions/fwd.hpp>
- #include <boost/math/special_functions/gamma.hpp> // for incomplete gamma. gamma_q
- #include <boost/math/special_functions/trunc.hpp> // for incomplete gamma. gamma_q
- #include <boost/math/distributions/complement.hpp> // complements
- #include <boost/math/distributions/detail/common_error_handling.hpp> // error checks
- #include <boost/math/special_functions/fpclassify.hpp> // isnan.
- #include <boost/math/special_functions/factorials.hpp> // factorials.
- #include <boost/math/tools/roots.hpp> // for root finding.
- #include <boost/math/distributions/detail/inv_discrete_quantile.hpp>
- #include <utility>
- namespace boost
- {
- namespace math
- {
- namespace poisson_detail
- {
- // Common error checking routines for Poisson distribution functions.
- // These are convoluted, & apparently redundant, to try to ensure that
- // checks are always performed, even if exceptions are not enabled.
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline bool check_mean(const char* function, const RealType& mean, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
- {
- if(!(boost::math::isfinite)(mean) || (mean < 0))
- {
- *result = policies::raise_domain_error<RealType>(
- function,
- "Mean argument is %1%, but must be >= 0 !", mean, pol);
- return false;
- }
- return true;
- } // bool check_mean
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline bool check_mean_NZ(const char* function, const RealType& mean, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
- { // mean == 0 is considered an error.
- if( !(boost::math::isfinite)(mean) || (mean <= 0))
- {
- *result = policies::raise_domain_error<RealType>(
- function,
- "Mean argument is %1%, but must be > 0 !", mean, pol);
- return false;
- }
- return true;
- } // bool check_mean_NZ
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline bool check_dist(const char* function, const RealType& mean, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
- { // Only one check, so this is redundant really but should be optimized away.
- return check_mean_NZ(function, mean, result, pol);
- } // bool check_dist
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline bool check_k(const char* function, const RealType& k, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
- {
- if((k < 0) || !(boost::math::isfinite)(k))
- {
- *result = policies::raise_domain_error<RealType>(
- function,
- "Number of events k argument is %1%, but must be >= 0 !", k, pol);
- return false;
- }
- return true;
- } // bool check_k
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline bool check_dist_and_k(const char* function, RealType mean, RealType k, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
- {
- if((check_dist(function, mean, result, pol) == false) ||
- (check_k(function, k, result, pol) == false))
- {
- return false;
- }
- return true;
- } // bool check_dist_and_k
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline bool check_prob(const char* function, const RealType& p, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
- { // Check 0 <= p <= 1
- if(!(boost::math::isfinite)(p) || (p < 0) || (p > 1))
- {
- *result = policies::raise_domain_error<RealType>(
- function,
- "Probability argument is %1%, but must be >= 0 and <= 1 !", p, pol);
- return false;
- }
- return true;
- } // bool check_prob
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline bool check_dist_and_prob(const char* function, RealType mean, RealType p, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
- {
- if((check_dist(function, mean, result, pol) == false) ||
- (check_prob(function, p, result, pol) == false))
- {
- return false;
- }
- return true;
- } // bool check_dist_and_prob
- } // namespace poisson_detail
- template <class RealType = double, class Policy = policies::policy<> >
- class poisson_distribution
- {
- public:
- typedef RealType value_type;
- typedef Policy policy_type;
- poisson_distribution(RealType l_mean = 1) : m_l(l_mean) // mean (lambda).
- { // Expected mean number of events that occur during the given interval.
- RealType r;
- poisson_detail::check_dist(
- "boost::math::poisson_distribution<%1%>::poisson_distribution",
- m_l,
- &r, Policy());
- } // poisson_distribution constructor.
- RealType mean() const
- { // Private data getter function.
- return m_l;
- }
- private:
- // Data member, initialized by constructor.
- RealType m_l; // mean number of occurrences.
- }; // template <class RealType, class Policy> class poisson_distribution
- typedef poisson_distribution<double> poisson; // Reserved name of type double.
- // Non-member functions to give properties of the distribution.
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline const std::pair<RealType, RealType> range(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& /* dist */)
- { // Range of permissible values for random variable k.
- using boost::math::tools::max_value;
- return std::pair<RealType, RealType>(static_cast<RealType>(0), max_value<RealType>()); // Max integer?
- }
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline const std::pair<RealType, RealType> support(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& /* dist */)
- { // Range of supported values for random variable k.
- // This is range where cdf rises from 0 to 1, and outside it, the pdf is zero.
- using boost::math::tools::max_value;
- return std::pair<RealType, RealType>(static_cast<RealType>(0), max_value<RealType>());
- }
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline RealType mean(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
- { // Mean of poisson distribution = lambda.
- return dist.mean();
- } // mean
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline RealType mode(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
- { // mode.
- BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // ADL of std functions.
- return floor(dist.mean());
- }
- //template <class RealType, class Policy>
- //inline RealType median(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
- //{ // median = approximately lambda + 1/3 - 0.2/lambda
- // RealType l = dist.mean();
- // return dist.mean() + static_cast<RealType>(0.3333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333)
- // - static_cast<RealType>(0.2) / l;
- //} // BUT this formula appears to be out-by-one compared to quantile(half)
- // Query posted on Wikipedia.
- // Now implemented via quantile(half) in derived accessors.
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline RealType variance(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
- { // variance.
- return dist.mean();
- }
- // RealType standard_deviation(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
- // standard_deviation provided by derived accessors.
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline RealType skewness(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
- { // skewness = sqrt(l).
- BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // ADL of std functions.
- return 1 / sqrt(dist.mean());
- }
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline RealType kurtosis_excess(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
- { // skewness = sqrt(l).
- return 1 / dist.mean(); // kurtosis_excess 1/mean from Wiki & MathWorld eq 31.
- // http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Kurtosis.html explains that the kurtosis excess
- // is more convenient because the kurtosis excess of a normal distribution is zero
- // whereas the true kurtosis is 3.
- } // RealType kurtosis_excess
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline RealType kurtosis(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
- { // kurtosis is 4th moment about the mean = u4 / sd ^ 4
- // http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kurtosis
- // kurtosis can range from -2 (flat top) to +infinity (sharp peak & heavy tails).
- // http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section3/eda35b.htm
- return 3 + 1 / dist.mean(); // NIST.
- // http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Kurtosis.html explains that the kurtosis excess
- // is more convenient because the kurtosis excess of a normal distribution is zero
- // whereas the true kurtosis is 3.
- } // RealType kurtosis
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- RealType pdf(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist, const RealType& k)
- { // Probability Density/Mass Function.
- // Probability that there are EXACTLY k occurrences (or arrivals).
- BOOST_FPU_EXCEPTION_GUARD
- BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // for ADL of std functions.
- RealType mean = dist.mean();
- // Error check:
- RealType result = 0;
- if(false == poisson_detail::check_dist_and_k(
- "boost::math::pdf(const poisson_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)",
- mean,
- k,
- &result, Policy()))
- {
- return result;
- }
- // Special case of mean zero, regardless of the number of events k.
- if (mean == 0)
- { // Probability for any k is zero.
- return 0;
- }
- if (k == 0)
- { // mean ^ k = 1, and k! = 1, so can simplify.
- return exp(-mean);
- }
- return boost::math::gamma_p_derivative(k+1, mean, Policy());
- } // pdf
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- RealType cdf(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist, const RealType& k)
- { // Cumulative Distribution Function Poisson.
- // The random variate k is the number of occurrences(or arrivals)
- // k argument may be integral, signed, or unsigned, or floating point.
- // If necessary, it has already been promoted from an integral type.
- // Returns the sum of the terms 0 through k of the Poisson Probability Density or Mass (pdf).
- // But note that the Poisson distribution
- // (like others including the binomial, negative binomial & Bernoulli)
- // is strictly defined as a discrete function: only integral values of k are envisaged.
- // However because of the method of calculation using a continuous gamma function,
- // it is convenient to treat it as if it is a continuous function
- // and permit non-integral values of k.
- // To enforce the strict mathematical model, users should use floor or ceil functions
- // outside this function to ensure that k is integral.
- // The terms are not summed directly (at least for larger k)
- // instead the incomplete gamma integral is employed,
- BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // for ADL of std function exp.
- RealType mean = dist.mean();
- // Error checks:
- RealType result = 0;
- if(false == poisson_detail::check_dist_and_k(
- "boost::math::cdf(const poisson_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)",
- mean,
- k,
- &result, Policy()))
- {
- return result;
- }
- // Special cases:
- if (mean == 0)
- { // Probability for any k is zero.
- return 0;
- }
- if (k == 0)
- { // return pdf(dist, static_cast<RealType>(0));
- // but mean (and k) have already been checked,
- // so this avoids unnecessary repeated checks.
- return exp(-mean);
- }
- // For small integral k could use a finite sum -
- // it's cheaper than the gamma function.
- // BUT this is now done efficiently by gamma_q function.
- // Calculate poisson cdf using the gamma_q function.
- return gamma_q(k+1, mean, Policy());
- } // binomial cdf
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- RealType cdf(const complemented2_type<poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>, RealType>& c)
- { // Complemented Cumulative Distribution Function Poisson
- // The random variate k is the number of events, occurrences or arrivals.
- // k argument may be integral, signed, or unsigned, or floating point.
- // If necessary, it has already been promoted from an integral type.
- // But note that the Poisson distribution
- // (like others including the binomial, negative binomial & Bernoulli)
- // is strictly defined as a discrete function: only integral values of k are envisaged.
- // However because of the method of calculation using a continuous gamma function,
- // it is convenient to treat it as is it is a continuous function
- // and permit non-integral values of k.
- // To enforce the strict mathematical model, users should use floor or ceil functions
- // outside this function to ensure that k is integral.
- // Returns the sum of the terms k+1 through inf of the Poisson Probability Density/Mass (pdf).
- // The terms are not summed directly (at least for larger k)
- // instead the incomplete gamma integral is employed,
- RealType const& k = c.param;
- poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy> const& dist = c.dist;
- RealType mean = dist.mean();
- // Error checks:
- RealType result = 0;
- if(false == poisson_detail::check_dist_and_k(
- "boost::math::cdf(const poisson_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)",
- mean,
- k,
- &result, Policy()))
- {
- return result;
- }
- // Special case of mean, regardless of the number of events k.
- if (mean == 0)
- { // Probability for any k is unity, complement of zero.
- return 1;
- }
- if (k == 0)
- { // Avoid repeated checks on k and mean in gamma_p.
- return -boost::math::expm1(-mean, Policy());
- }
- // Unlike un-complemented cdf (sum from 0 to k),
- // can't use finite sum from k+1 to infinity for small integral k,
- // anyway it is now done efficiently by gamma_p.
- return gamma_p(k + 1, mean, Policy()); // Calculate Poisson cdf using the gamma_p function.
- // CCDF = gamma_p(k+1, lambda)
- } // poisson ccdf
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline RealType quantile(const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist, const RealType& p)
- { // Quantile (or Percent Point) Poisson function.
- // Return the number of expected events k for a given probability p.
- static const char* function = "boost::math::quantile(const poisson_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
- RealType result = 0; // of Argument checks:
- if(false == poisson_detail::check_prob(
- function,
- p,
- &result, Policy()))
- {
- return result;
- }
- // Special case:
- if (dist.mean() == 0)
- { // if mean = 0 then p = 0, so k can be anything?
- if (false == poisson_detail::check_mean_NZ(
- function,
- dist.mean(),
- &result, Policy()))
- {
- return result;
- }
- }
- if(p == 0)
- {
- return 0; // Exact result regardless of discrete-quantile Policy
- }
- if(p == 1)
- {
- return policies::raise_overflow_error<RealType>(function, 0, Policy());
- }
- typedef typename Policy::discrete_quantile_type discrete_type;
- boost::uintmax_t max_iter = policies::get_max_root_iterations<Policy>();
- RealType guess, factor = 8;
- RealType z = dist.mean();
- if(z < 1)
- guess = z;
- else
- guess = boost::math::detail::inverse_poisson_cornish_fisher(z, p, RealType(1-p), Policy());
- if(z > 5)
- {
- if(z > 1000)
- factor = 1.01f;
- else if(z > 50)
- factor = 1.1f;
- else if(guess > 10)
- factor = 1.25f;
- else
- factor = 2;
- if(guess < 1.1)
- factor = 8;
- }
- return detail::inverse_discrete_quantile(
- dist,
- p,
- false,
- guess,
- factor,
- RealType(1),
- discrete_type(),
- max_iter);
- } // quantile
- template <class RealType, class Policy>
- inline RealType quantile(const complemented2_type<poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>, RealType>& c)
- { // Quantile (or Percent Point) of Poisson function.
- // Return the number of expected events k for a given
- // complement of the probability q.
- //
- // Error checks:
- static const char* function = "boost::math::quantile(complement(const poisson_distribution<%1%>&, %1%))";
- RealType q = c.param;
- const poisson_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist = c.dist;
- RealType result = 0; // of argument checks.
- if(false == poisson_detail::check_prob(
- function,
- q,
- &result, Policy()))
- {
- return result;
- }
- // Special case:
- if (dist.mean() == 0)
- { // if mean = 0 then p = 0, so k can be anything?
- if (false == poisson_detail::check_mean_NZ(
- function,
- dist.mean(),
- &result, Policy()))
- {
- return result;
- }
- }
- if(q == 0)
- {
- return policies::raise_overflow_error<RealType>(function, 0, Policy());
- }
- if(q == 1)
- {
- return 0; // Exact result regardless of discrete-quantile Policy
- }
- typedef typename Policy::discrete_quantile_type discrete_type;
- boost::uintmax_t max_iter = policies::get_max_root_iterations<Policy>();
- RealType guess, factor = 8;
- RealType z = dist.mean();
- if(z < 1)
- guess = z;
- else
- guess = boost::math::detail::inverse_poisson_cornish_fisher(z, RealType(1-q), q, Policy());
- if(z > 5)
- {
- if(z > 1000)
- factor = 1.01f;
- else if(z > 50)
- factor = 1.1f;
- else if(guess > 10)
- factor = 1.25f;
- else
- factor = 2;
- if(guess < 1.1)
- factor = 8;
- }
- return detail::inverse_discrete_quantile(
- dist,
- q,
- true,
- guess,
- factor,
- RealType(1),
- discrete_type(),
- max_iter);
- } // quantile complement.
- } // namespace math
- } // namespace boost
- // This include must be at the end, *after* the accessors
- // for this distribution have been defined, in order to
- // keep compilers that support two-phase lookup happy.
- #include <boost/math/distributions/detail/derived_accessors.hpp>
- #include <boost/math/distributions/detail/inv_discrete_quantile.hpp>
- #endif // BOOST_MATH_SPECIAL_POISSON_HPP
|